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Laptops will bypass desktop PCs next year, IDC experts believe

Increasing public interest in “portable computing” prompted analyst firm IDC to revise its forecast for the personal computer market.

If in March, IDC experts estimated the annual growth at 12.8%, now this estimate is 15.2%. In addition, IDC analysts note interest from corporate customers in replacing desktop PCs with laptops, as well as the emergence of inexpensive mini-laptops, such as the ASUS Eee PC. These factors account for 35% annual growth in the mobile segment. In quantitative terms, 145 million will be delivered worldwide this year. laptops, less than 165 million desktops so far. units. However, the growth rate of the desktop segment is significantly lower than that of laptops, at about 2%.

Subject to continued growth rates, mobile computer shipments next year will amount to 181.6 million. pieces, and will surpass the volume of shipments of desktop systems, which will be 169.9 million. PC. If we take the USA separately, here laptops and other mobile systems will bypass desktop PCs already this year – 35.9 million of them will be delivered. units, and desktop PCs – 35 million.

Noteworthy is the decrease in prices for PCs – in monetary terms, the annual growth in deliveries is estimated at 10%. Again, the number of shipped systems will grow by 15.2%.

Overall, IDC’s view is in good agreement with Research and Markets’ previously published forecast.

Sources: Barron’s Online, IDC

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