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Blu-ray won’t shake DVD dominance until 2021, IDC says

Overall growth in the PC market, driven by the success of portable models, will lead to an increase in optical drive shipments this year, while the share of compact, reduced height models will increase. Interestingly, despite the ramp-up in production of Blu-ray drives, DVD burners will continue to be the most mainstream product category through 2021. At the same time, the share of Blu-ray optical drives will begin to increase as early as next year, and by 2021 such products will take the main position.

“DVD recorders will continue to be the core product for optical drive suppliers,” said Wolfgang Schlichting, Head of Research at IDC. “Although Blu-ray defeated HD DVD in the format war, distribution of Blu-ray drives will be limited in 2021 due to high cost and imminent consumer interest.”.

However, a report prepared by IDC says that prices for DVD burners will continue to decline, leading to further erosion of profitability and the withdrawal of technology leaders from the mass market.

It will take three to five years to spin up Blu-ray, analysts say. A decisive role in this at the initial stage can be played by devices that support read-only discs (BD-ROM). If events unfold in line with IDC forecasts, global Blu-ray drive sales will reach 100 million in 2021. units of finished products.

Source: IDC

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