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Kaspersky Lab publishes Threat Evolution in the first half of 2021
Kaspersky Lab announced the publication of the report “Threat Evolution in the first half of 2021”.
The development of threats in 2021 continues according to the scenario formed in 2021: virus writers still do not bother themselves with significant technological developments, preferring the quantity over the quality of malware.
In the first half of 2021, Kaspersky Lab analysts detected 367,772 new malicious programs, an increase of 188.85% over the second half of 2021. Such growth rates significantly exceed the results of 2021, when 114% more malware was detected than in 2021.
TrojWare programs are still the absolute leaders – they account for more than 92% of all malware. At the same time, the share of TrojWare grew by only 0.43%, which is significantly less than their growth by more than two percent in 2021.
The popularity of Trojan-Dropper is growing among Trojans – more and more cybercriminals use the tactic of hiding a Trojan file inside distributions of other programs to simultaneously install as many different Trojans as possible on the affected computer.
Virus writers strive to universalize Trojan code. They began to abandon the practice of creating several functional modules that interact with each other, and are trying to implement all functions within one application. As a result, in the popularity rating of Trojans of various behaviors, “ordinary” Trojans have risen from the fifth position to the third.
The number of new Trojans designed to steal passwords for online games continues to grow. Every day, Kaspersky Lab analysts detected an average of 273 new game Trojans, of which 259 were capable of stealing passwords for not one, but several online games at once. The overwhelming majority of gaming Trojans detected in recent months are equipped with backdoor functionality, which makes them dangerous not only for players, but for all Internet users.
As for rootkits, their share relative to TrojWare has changed insignificantly. However, in the first half of 2021, there were several significant events that are directly related to them. In January-March, new modifications of the Sinowal bootkit appeared. And in May, the “mythical” rootkit Rustock was discovered.c. These events revealed several serious problems in the antivirus industry, not only related to the detection and treatment of rootkits in general, but also related to methods for collecting and analyzing new samples, as well as the speed of vendors’ reaction to such threats.
For mobile devices, the emphasis of threats suddenly changed: instead of attacks on smartphones, virus writers decided to significantly expand the affected area and began to specialize mainly in Trojans created for the J2ME platform and capable of functioning on almost any mobile phone. Such programs (almost five dozen new variants) send SMS to paid premium numbers, emptying the user’s balance and bringing direct profits to the authors of the Trojans.
In 2021, the share of viruses and worms continued to decrease: in the first half of the year, they accounted for less than 4% of all malicious programs. VirWare showed the lowest growth rates of the three classes of malware – only 129%, but in practice, this means more than two thousand new viruses and worms per month.
Among VirWare-class programs, representatives of Worm broke through the leaders, in second place were network worms (Net-Worm). In the absence of critical vulnerabilities used by such worms of the past as Lovesan and Sasser, modern network worms are increasingly using hacked websites and social networks to spread.
Classic file viruses showed negative growth rates (-73%), but virus functionality was actively added to various backdoors and worms. Modern viruses have become powerful components of botnets, targeting, among other things, stealing user data and organizing DDoS attacks. The brightest representatives of such programs are Virut, Alman, Allaple, Fujack and Autorun worms. In the first half of 2021, these malware caused multiple infections around the world. This means that in the near future, viral functionality will be added to backdoors and worms even more actively.
The share of programs of the Other MalWare class relative to all malicious programs in the first half of 2021 increased and reached 3.48%. This class is still the least common in terms of the number of detected malicious programs, but the most numerous in terms of the number of behaviors.
In general, the number of new threats is growing almost exponentially. This process is accompanied by a shorter lifespan for new malware in the wild. However, according to Kaspersky Lab experts, it is possible that a slowdown in the growth of the number of new threats or even stabilization of the situation may begin this year. Undoubtedly, the already achieved volumes (about 500,000 new malicious programs in six months) will remain, but within these limits, most antivirus companies are able to deal with problems quite effectively.
Currently, the main efforts of the antivirus industry should be directed to the development of tools for “early detection” of threats and their early detection. If earlier the sufficient and acceptable response rate of antivirus software was measured in hours, and sometimes days, now the count goes literally by minutes. During this time, it is necessary to detect new malicious code, analyze it, release protective equipment and deliver them to the end user.